Lagniappe

SEC Supremacy? Not After This Weekend

Nick Domingue
Author
Updated
June 2, 2025
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13 Mins

It turns out that all the hype about the mighty Southeastern Conference (SEC) in college baseball might have been just that – hype. After a wild weekend of NCAA Regional action, several of the SEC’s most vaunted teams – teams propped up by sky-high strength-of-schedule metrics and media praise – were sent packing much earlier than expected. For those of us who long suspected the SEC’s dominance was overstated, consider this weekend our vindication.

Pre-Tournament Hype Meets Harsh Reality

Going into the tournament, the SEC was practically wreathed in laurels. The conference earned a record 13 bids in the 64-team field, tied an NCAA record with 8 regional host sites, and occupied five of the top six spots in the national rankings. Pundits gushed about the league’s brutal schedules and battle-tested teams. If you listened to the selection committee and certain media outlets, you’d think the road to Omaha was paved in SEC logos.

But once the games started, that strength of schedule swagger evaporated. By Sunday night, the once-dominant SEC contingent looked shockingly mortal. Only 2 of those 8 host teams (No. 3 Arkansas and No. 4 Auburn) had clinched a spot in the Super Regionals, with many others eliminated or on the brink. The SEC’s supposed postseason juggernaut had sprung a leak – and a big one at that.

Top Seeds Toppled on Home Turf

The most striking outcomes came at the expense of the SEC’s highest-seeded teams. One by one, the Goliaths of the conference were slain on their own diamonds, often by underdogs who apparently didn’t get the memo about SEC invincibility. Some of the biggest face-plants included:

  • Vanderbilt (No. 1 overall seed): The SEC Tournament champs were expected to cruise through the Nashville Regional. Instead, the Commodores made unwanted history by becoming the first No. 1 national seed to miss a regional final since the format began in 1999. Vandy won its opener, then fell 3-2 to Louisville on Saturday and got stunned in a 5-4 elimination loss to No. 4 seed Wright State on Sunday. So much for “Anchor Down” – by Sunday evening it was Anchor Downed, as one might snarkily put it.
  • Texas (No. 2 overall seed): Everything’s bigger in Texas – including the upsets. In Austin, the Longhorns’ vaunted pitching staff ran out of gas and the team lost twice to UT-San Antonio (UTSA) in its own regional. Yes, you read that right: the Roadrunners of UTSA (a team far outside the Power Five royalty) knocked off Texas not once but twice, including in the winner-take-all final. The Longhorns entered the weekend with a glossy record and a top seed, only to be sent home by a program that most SEC fans couldn’t locate on a map. Consider the “Eyes of Texas” officially crying.
  • Georgia (No. 7 overall seed): The Athens Regional ended in heartbreak for the Bulldogs. Georgia was bounced after a walk-off home run by Oklahoma State on Sunday. There would be no glory between the hedges – instead, the Dawgs watched as a visiting team celebrated on their field. (For added insult, it was Duke that ultimately advanced out of Athens, underscoring how an ACC team took advantage of Georgia’s stumble.)
  • Ole Miss (No. 10 overall seed) & Tennessee (No. 14): Even the SEC hosts that survived to Monday had been pushed to the brink. Defending national champion Tennessee squandered a late lead and lost 7-6 on a final at-bat walk to Wake Forest, forcing the Vols into a do-or-die rematch. Meanwhile, Ole Miss was stunned by upstart Murray State in one game, finding itself in a Monday elimination game against a No. 4 seed many assumed would be cannon fodder. When multiple SEC hosts are struggling against teams from the Ohio Valley Conference and the like, it shatters the illusion that hosting guarantees anything.
  • LSU (No. 6 overall seed): LSU looked dominant early in the Baton Rouge Regional, only to get ambushed by little-known Little Rock on Sunday night. Little Rock’s pitching staff was statistically among the worst in the tournament, yet they somehow silenced LSU’s bats and forced yet another Game 7 involving an SEC powerhouse. The notion that an SEC team’s depth will always carry it through a regional took a hit – LSU’s regional turned into a high-stress tightrope walk instead of a coronation.

In short, the league’s top seeds – usually the pride of the SEC – were dropping like flies. Instead of punching tickets to Omaha, they were busy punching walls in the locker room.

Mid-Tier Teams Fail to Impress

This wasn’t just about the top seeds, either. The SEC’s depth – so often trumpeted as its greatest strength – didn’t exactly cover itself in glory in the regional round. A slew of other SEC teams that got at-large bids based on supposedly superior resumes were shown the door early:

  • Florida: The Gators entered the tournament with plenty of chatter about their tough schedule, yet they “failed to get out of the first weekend” at their regional site. In other words, Florida’s postseason stay was as short as an afternoon thunderstorm in Gainesville. So much for those RPI points from the SEC grind.
  • Kentucky, Alabama, Mississippi State: Ditto for these programs – all three were sent packing by Sunday, unable to escape their respective regionals. Kentucky and Alabama boasted solid seasons in-conference, and Mississippi State was hoping to recapture some of its past championship magic, but none of them made a peep in the national bracket. Each fell flat as a lower seed on the road. The selection committee gave them the benefit of the doubt (and the bids) due to that vaunted strength of schedule, and they responded by bowing out before anyone even got to the Super Regionals. If you’re an outsider who felt your team got snubbed, watching a .500-ish SEC team go 0-2 in a regional probably didn’t improve your mood.

By Sunday night, the cold reality was evident: out of 13 SEC teams in the field, 7 had already been eliminated(including several of the highest-ranked). Only six SEC teams were even still alive heading into Monday – and four of those still had to win elimination games to advance. In other words, more than half of the SEC’s contingent didn’t survive one weekend. So much for the notion that SEC teams would waltz through regionals simply because they’d been hardened by a superior conference.

To put it bluntly, the SEC’s performance was underwhelming relative to the hype. The table below sums up how each SEC team fared in the 2025 Regionals:

SEC Teams in the 2025 NCAA Baseball Regionals: Seeds & Outcomes

Here’s a quick look at all the SEC teams that made the tournament, their seeding, and how far they went.

Vanderbilt: No. 1 National Seed (Host, Nashville Regional)… Eliminated in Regionals – failed to reach regional  (upset by Louisville & Wright State)

Texas: No. 2 National Seed (Host, Austin Regional)… Eliminated in Regionals – lost in regional final (fell twice to UTSA)

Arkansas: No. 3 National Seed (Host, Fayetteville Reg.)… Advanced to Super Regionals (won Fayetteville Regional)

Auburn: No. 4 National Seed (Host, Auburn Regional)… Advanced to Super Regionals (won Auburn Regional)

LSU: No. 6 National Seed (Host, Baton Rouge Reg.)… Reached Regional Final – forced to Game 7 vs. Little Rock after upset loss (outcome decided on Monday)

Georgia: No. 7 National Seed (Host, Athens Regional)… Eliminated in Regionals – lost in regional final on walk-off HR (Duke advanced instead)

Ole Miss: No. 10 National Seed (Host, Oxford Regional)… Reached Regional Final – forced to Game 7 vs. #4 seed Murray State (outcome decided on Monday)

Tennessee: No. 14 National Seed (Host, Knoxville Reg.)… Reached Regional Final – forced to Game 7 vs. Wake Forest after 7-6 loss

Florida: At-Large bid (No. 2 seed in another regional)… Eliminated in Regionals – did not advance out of opening weekend

Kentucky: At-Large bid (No. 2/3 seed in another regional)… Eliminated in Regionals – did not advance (out by Sunday)

Alabama: At-Large bid (No. 2/3 seed in another regional)… Eliminated in Regionals – did not advance (out by Sunday)

Mississippi State: At-Large bid (No. 2/3 seed in another regional)… Eliminated in Regionals – did not advance (out by Sunday)

Oklahoma: At-Large bid (No. 2 seed in Chapel Hill Reg.)… Reached Regional Final – forced Game 7 vs. No. 5 seed North Carolina(outcome decided on Monday)

(Notes: “Reached Regional Final” indicates the team made it to the winner-take-all final game of the regional but had not clinched advancement by the end of the weekend. All eliminations/advancements are based on results through Sunday of the regional round.)

As the table shows, the SEC’s army of teams largely failed to live up to their billing. The only sure Super Regional qualifiers from the conference by Sunday night were Arkansas and Auburn – solid programs, to be sure, but not the ones media hype focused on most. The rest of the SEC either bowed out early or were left clinging to life in elimination games.

When Perception Meets Reality

This weekend’s carnage should give the NCAA selection committee – and the SEC-centric cheerleaders in the media – some food for thought. The assumption that an SEC-heavy schedule automatically forges superior teams took a beating. Yes, the SEC is extremely competitive internally, but when nearly half of your 13 entrants can’t survive beyond a few games, perhaps the “toughest schedule in the country” narrative was a bit overcooked.

It’s not that the SEC suddenly became a bad baseball conference overnight (they did just produce the last two national champions, after all). Upsets are part of the charm of college baseball’s postseason. However, the sheer volume of upsets and early exits for SEC teams this year is hard to ignore. When the No. 1 and No. 2 overall seeds (both SEC) get bounced at home, and when multiple SEC hosts fall to lower seeds, it challenges the idea that the SEC deserved so many top seeds and bids in the first place. The results on the field are calling out the committee’s decision-making. Perhaps handing out half the host sites to one conference – even a strong one – isn’t a sure-fire recipe for quality or fairness.

Media narratives also took a hit. For months we heard about how the middle-of-the-pack SEC teams would be title threats if they played in any other conference. Yet given the chance in regional play, those very teams looked decidedly ordinary. Florida’s and Alabama’s quick exits don’t scream “we belonged in the top 25” so much as “maybe the rankings were a mirage.” One can’t help but wonder if some equally deserving teams from other conferences (who didn’t benefit from the SEC’s reputation boost) would have put up a better fight. Troy Trojans fans would agree.

And let’s be clear: this isn’t just schadenfreude (okay, maybe there’s a little schadenfreude, especially if you’re a fan who’s tired of the SEC boasts). There’s a real argument to be made that relying too heavily on strength of schedule and conference pedigree is problematic. The SEC teams fattened up their resumes by playing each other, but when faced with unfamiliar opponents playing with a chip on their shoulder, many blinked. Perhaps metrics like RPI, which often favor the SEC teams due to all those high-profile matchups, don’t tell the whole story of a team’s mettle.

Vindication for the Skeptics

For those who had criticized “SEC bias” in baseball – who said that the conference’s strength of schedule was inflated and that the selection committee was overvaluing SEC teams – this weekend was a giant, resounding “I told you so.” The mighty SEC wasn’t unbeatable; in fact, it was beatable in embarrassingly routine fashion. The evidence is now on the scoreboard: seven SEC teams gone in the first weekend, including some that were expected to stroll into the College World Series. The next time someone insists that a middle-tier SEC squad deserves a bid over a top mid-major or a third-place team from another conference, remind them of 2025’s opening weekend.

To be fair, the story isn’t over yet. The SEC still has a few heavyweights alive, and it’s entirely possible an SEC team (or two) will rally and reach Omaha – maybe even win it all. If Arkansas or Auburn hoists the trophy in a couple of weeks, SEC supporters will gladly claim that as proof of conference superiority. But even that won’t erase what happened in the regionals. The myth of across-the-board SEC supremacy took a hit this weekend, and it will linger. At minimum, the selection committee might think twice before handing out quite so many generous seeds to one conference, and the rest of the country will eye those gaudy SEC records with a bit more skepticism.

In the end, the 2025 Regionals delivered a simple message: you don’t win games on reputation. Hype and high seeds are nice, but you still have to perform between the lines. And when the SEC’s best and brightest failed to do so, their preferential treatment was laid bare. It’s an outcome dripping with irony and schadenfreude – and yes, a healthy dose of vindication – for those who doubted the SEC’s untouchable status. As one might quip, “It Just Means More”… might just mean more disappointment when the games are actually played.

Bottom line: The SEC’s strength-of-schedule narrative met reality this weekend, and reality won. The committee’s SEC bias? Exposed. And for once, the rest of the college baseball world gets to do something the SEC is used to doing – talk a little smack – while the “best conference in the land” goes back to the drawing board, licking its wounds.

(No need to shed too many tears for the SEC, though – they’ll be back, but hopefully with a little less hubris in tow.)

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